| In the section | Articles |
| Title of the article | Transportation Complex of the Far East: Structural Changes Against the Background of General Economic Dynamics and Geopolitical Shocks |
| Pages | 78-113 |
| Author | Anna Borisovna Bardal Doctor of Economics, Assistant Professor, Leading Research Fellow Economic Research Institute FEB RAS 153 Tikhookeanskaya St., Khabarovsk, 680042, Russian Federation This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-4714 |
| Abstract | The transportation complex of the Far East acts as a closing link of the national transportation system in interactions with Asian countries, the importance of which is increasing against the background of geopolitical changes. The Russian government allocates resources for infrastructure development, the intensity of regulation is increasing. This determines the purpose of this work – to analyze the impact of general economic conditions, extra-economic shocks and state regulation on the parameters of the transportation complex of the Far East in 2000–2023. To take into account the differentiation of tasks performed by the transportation sector, the territory of the Far Eastern Federal District is divided into the southern (main transit of extra-regional cargoes in the direction of sea ports) and northern zones (servicing mainly intra-regional turnover). The unevenness of general economic dynamics is taken into account by dividing the 2000–2023 interval into six periods: three periods of conditional stability and growth (2000–2007, 2010–2013, 2016–2019), and three crisis periods (2008–2009, 2014–2015, 2020–2023). On the basis of official statistical data using the method of structural shifts, the national, regional, and sectoral components of the dynamics of key macroeconomic indicators of transport (investment, gross value added, number of employees) for the two transport zones of the Far East in each time period were calculated. It is shown that the concentration of the government’s efforts on the development of the transit latitudinal corridor was reflected in the higher indicators of the southern transport zone of the Far Eastern Federal District in relation to the northern one and the predominance of the regional component in the structure of investment dynamics of the southern zone, starting from 2008–2009. The dynamics of the gross value added of transport over 2000–2023 is determined by the national component, both for the southern and northern transport zones, and its change is not symmetrical to the investment growth. Employment in the field of transportation within the individual periods up to 2016 is more related to economic dynamics. Further, its change, in addition to the general trends of the national labor market, is also explained by the specifics of personnel policy of certain types of transport |
| Code | 332.1+338.4 |
| JEL | R19, R41, O18 |
| DOI | https://dx.doi.org/10.14530/se.2025.2.078-113 |
| Keywords | role of transportation in the economy, transportation complex, method of structural shifts, northern zone, southern zone, Far East of Russia |
| Download | SE.2025.2.078-113.Bardal.pdf |
| For citation | Bardal A.B. Transportation Complex of the Far East: Structural Changes Against the Background of General Economic Dynamics and Geopolitical Shocks. Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2025, vol. 21, no. 2, pp. 78–113. https://dx.doi.org/10.14530/se.2025.2.078-113 (In Russian) |
| References | 1. Aganbegyan A.G. New Trends in the Crisis Situation 2020–2021. Ekonomika Severo-Zapada: Problemy i Perspektivy Razvitiya = Economy of the North-West: Problems and Prospects of Development, 2021, no. 2 (65), pp. 5–19. (In Russian). 2. Aganbegyan A.G. Russia During the Global Financial and Economic Crisis of 2008–2009. Bankovskie Uslugi = Banking Services, 2009, no. 1, pp. 2–45. (In Russian). 3. Baklanov P.Y., Moshkov A.V., Romanov M.T., Ushakov E.A. Approaches to the Transport and Geographical Zoning of the Far Eastern Microregion. Geosystems of North-East Asia: Natural, Natural Resource and Socio-Economic Structures. Vladivostok: Pacific Geographical Institute FEB RAS, 2020, pp. 6–9. (In Russian). 4. Bardal A.B. Needs for Transport Services in the Sectors of the Economy of the Subjects of the Russian Federation of the Southwestern Transit Zone of the Far Eastern Federal District. Regionalistica [Regionalistics], 2022, vol. 9, no. 4, pp. 5–18. (In Russian). 5. Bardal A.B. State Support of Transport Development at the Present Stage: Impact on the Transport Complex of the Far East. Vlast i Upravlenie na Vostoke Rossii = Power and Administration in the East of Russia, 2024, no. 2 (107), pp. 26–35. (In Russian). 6. Bardal A.B. The Transport Complex of the Far East: Development Trends and Economic Role. Ekonomicheskie i Sotsialnye Peremeny: Fakty, Tendentsii, Prognoz = Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast, 2018, vol. 11, no. 2, pp. 24–36. (In Russian). 7. Bogachkov S.V. Research on the Structure of the Transport Industry And it’s Role in the Country’s Economy in Modern Conditions. Ekonomika i Upravlenie: Problemy, Resheniya [Economics and Management: Problems, Solutions], 2024, vol. 1, no. 5 (146), pp. 5–14. (In Russian). 8. Delakhova A.M. Methodical Approach to Assessing the Transport Accessibility in the Northern Regions. Teoreticheskaya i Prikladnaya Ekonomika = Theoretical and Applied Economics, 2023, no. 2, pp. 11–27. (In Russian). 9. Demyanenko A.N. On the Decomposition of Economic Space within Far Eastern Macroregion. Regionalistica [Regionalistics], 2018, vol. 5, no. 2, pp. 5–20. (In Russian). 10. Dzhurka N.G., Dyomina O.V. Structural Shifts in the Fuel and Energy Sectors of the Far East: A Spatial Analysis. Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2022, vol. 18, no. 4, pp. 128–157. https://dx.doi.org/10.14530/se.2022.4.128-157 (In Russian). 11. Economic Policy in Russia. Turbulent Decade 2008–2018. Moscow, 2020, 760 p. (In Russian). 12. Golubchik A.M., Pak E.V. Rethinking Logistics of Russia’s Seaborne Containerized Trade: A Couple of Recommendations. Rossiyskiy Vneshneekonomicheskiy Vestnik = Russian Foreign Economic Journal, 2024, no. 6, pp. 83–90. (In Russian). 13. Ivanov N.A., Poussenkova N.N., Sokolov A.V. Production of Shale Oil and Gas in the US: Current Status and Prospects. Georesursy = Georesources, 2024, vol. 26, no. 3, pp. 240–249. (In Russian). 14. Kotov A.V. Spatial Shift-Share Analysis as a Tool for Studying the Economic Development of Russia’s Macroregions. Ekonomika Regiona = Economy of Region, 2021, vol. 17, no. 3, pp. 755–768. (In Russian). 15. Kravchenko S.I., Dementiev V.V. The Impact of Railway Transport on the Socioeconomic Development of Territories. Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2023, vol. 19, no. 2, pp. 47–69. (In Russian). 16. Kudrin А. Global Financial Crisis and Its Impact on Russia. Voprosy Ekonomiki [Econo-mic Issues], 2009, no. 1, pp. 9–27. (In Russian). 17. Lavrinenko P.A., Romashina A.A., Stepanov P.S., Chistyakov P.A. Transport Accessibility as an Indicator of Regional Development. Problemy Prognozirovaniya = Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2019, no. 6 (177), pp. 136–146. (In Russian). 18. Macheret D.A., Razuvaev A.D. Assessment of Economic Factors of Railway Infrastructure Loading. Ekonomika Zheleznukh Dorog [Economy of Railways], 2023, no. 5, pp. 13–24. (In Russian). 19. Malkina M.Yu., Balakin R.V. Trends in the Russian Economy Development During the New Anti-Russian Sanctions. Russian Journal of Economics and Law, 2024, vol. 18, no. 2, pp. 287–313. (In Russian). 20. Mikheeva N.N. Structural Factors of Regional Dynamics: Measuring and Assessment. Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2013, no. 1, pp. 11–32. https://dx.doi.org/10.14530/se.2013.1.011-032 (In Russian). 21. Minakir P.A. ?Turn to the East? Policy: Expectations and Reality. Ekonomika Regiona = Economy of Region, 2017, vol. 13, no. 4, pp. 1016–1029. (In Russian). 22. Minakir P.A. Russian Economy: Between Crisis. Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2020, vol. 16, no. 1, pp. 7–23. https://dx.doi.org/10.14530/se.2020.1.007-023 (In Russian). 23. Minakir P.A., Dem’yanenko А.N., Prokapalo O.M., Goryunov А.P. Integration and Disintegration in Russia’s Economic Space: Methodological Aspects. Ojkumena. Regionovedcheskie Issledovaniya = Ojkumena. Regional Researches, 2018, no. 4, pp. 43–54. https://dx.doi.org/10.24866/19986785/2018-4/43-54 (In Russian). 24. Mirkin Ya.M. 30 Years of Financial Development in New Russia: Key Imbalances. Nauchnye Trudy Volnogo Ekonomicheskogo Obshchestva Rossii = Scientific Works of the Free Economic Society of Russia, 2021, vol. 232, no. 6, pp. 97–116. https://dx.doi.org/10.38197/2072-2060-2021-232-6-97-116 (In Russian). 25. Mirkin Ya.M., Dobashina I.V. Russian Economy: Challenges and Scenarios of Volatile Future. Ekonomicheskaya Nauka Sovremennoy Rossii = Economics of Contemporary Russia, 2017, no. 3 (78), pp. 22–38. (In Russian). 26. Nikolaev R.S. Transport and Logistic Complex of the Country in the Conditions of Economic Restructuring: Macroeconomic Approaches to the Analysis of Efficiency. Vestnik Permskogo Universitets. Seriya: Ekonomika = Perm University Herald. Economy, 2018, vol. 13, no. 2, pp. 228–250. (In Russian). 27. Pokrovskaya O.D. Development of Russia’s Logistics Transport System under Sanctions. Bulleten Rezultatov Nauchnykh Issledovaniy = Bulletin of Scientific Research Result, 2023, no. 3, pp. 58–72. https://dx.doi.org/10.20295/2223-9987-2023-3-58-72 (In Russian). 28. Poleshkina I.O. Transport System of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia): Analysis of the State and Development Challenges. Mir Transporta = World of Transport and Transportation, 2021, vol. 19, no. 4, pp. 82–91. https://dx.doi.org/10.30932/1992-3252-2021-19-4-9 (In Russian). 29. Prokapalo О.М., Bardal A.B., Isaev A.G., Mazitova М.G. Economic Situation in the Far Eastern Federal District in 2022. Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2023, vol. 19, no. 2, pp. 126–168. https://dx.doi.org/10.14530/se.2023.2.126-168 (In Russian). 30. Russian Economy Under Sanctions: From Adaptation to Sustainable Growth. Edited by N.V. Akindinova. Moscow: National Research University Higher School of Economics, 2023, 64 p. (In Russian). 31. Shcherbanin Yu.A. Transport in Russia: Nine Years of Economic Sanctions. Problemy Prognozirovaniya = Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2023, no. 5 (200), pp. 45–58. https://dx.doi.org/10.47711/0868-6351-200-45-58 (In Russian). 32. Spasskaya O.V. Structural Changes Research and Measurement. Macroeconomical Methods. Nauchnye Trudy: Institut Narodokhozyaystvennogo Proznozirovaniya = Scientific Articles – Institute of Economic Forecasting Russian Academy of Sciences, 2003, vol. 1, pp. 20–39. (In Russian). 33. Stroeva G.N., Gorelova A.D. The Estimation of Differences and Shifts in Employment of Population in Far Eastern Regions. Vestnik Tikhookeanskogo Gosudarstvennogo Universiteta = Bulletin of Pacific National University, 2018, no. 2 (49), pp. 63–72. (In Russian). 34. Vakhnenko R.V. Marine Transport of the Far East in Modern Market Conditions. Tamozhennaya Politika Rossii na Dalnem Vostoke = Customs Policy of Russia in the Far East, 2008, no. 2 (43), pp. 81–95. (In Russian). |
| Financing | |
| Submitted | 01.04.2025 |
| Approved after reviewing | 15.05.2025 |
| Accepted for publication | 26.05.2025 |
| Available online | 30.06.2025 |