In the section | Surveys |
Title of the article | Long-Term Priorities of the Energy Sector Development in the Asian Regions of Russia |
Pages | 154—166 |
Author 1 | Anatoly Vladimirovich Lagerev Candidate of Technical sciences, Leading Research Fellow Melentiev Energy Systems Institute SB RAS 130 Lermontov Str., Irkutsk, Russia, 664033 This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. |
Author 2 | Valentina Nikolaevna Khanaeva Candidate of Economics, Senior Research Fellow Melentiev Energy Systems Institute SB RAS 130 Lermontov Str., Irkutsk, Russia, 664033 This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. |
Abstract | The paper examines the role of Asian regions of the country (Siberia and Far East) in production and consumption of fuel and energy resources until 2035. Based on the modeling calculations the following conclusions can be drawn: the production of energy in the regions has to increase (compared to 2015) by 14–22% and make up 1700–1825 million tons of conditional fuel; increase rates of energy consumption in Asian regions would outrun the all-Russian by 4–5%, while the region’s share in energy consumption would make up 30%; the Asian regions would remain the main providers of energy – more than 80% (1380–1480 million tons) energy resources procured in the region would be exported out, out of which 840–885 – for foreign export; the European direction would dominate while its share would decrease from 72 to 60%; Asian export can increase 1.7–1.9 times by 2035 and make up 325–360 million tons with its share increasing from 28 to 40 |
Code | 620.4:338.48.003.13(571) |
DOI | 10.14530/se.2017.3.154-166 |
Keywords | energy resources ♦ energy sector ♦ long-term forecast ♦ scenarios ♦ production ♦ consumption ♦ export ♦ prices ♦ Asian regions ♦ Siberia ♦ Far East ♦ Russia ♦ North-East Asia |
Download | SE.2017.3.154-166.Lagerev.pdf |
For citation | Lagerev A.V., Khanaeva V.N. Long-Term Priorities of the Energy Sector Development in the Asian Regions of Russia. Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2017, no. 3, pp. 154–166. DOI: 10.14530/se.2017.3.154-166. (In Russian). |
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